Concluding Remarks
We know that right now your options at home are limited and outlaw regimes and terrorists may try to exploit your situation and influence you to build new weapons of war. [the physicists and engineers scribbled in tiny notebooks] But I think we should talk about a brain gain solution, and that is a solution of putting you to the work of peace, to accelerate reform and build democracy here, to help your people live better lives for decades to come.
—James A. Baker III,
US secretary of state to Soviet Nuclear Weapons Lab employees,
February 1992105
This chapter, by illustrating the broad scope of technical cooperation in trade, environmental regulation, scientific research, and space policy has demonstrated how the new conditions of cooperation placed both the Russian and American space programs in new positions of accountability (and vulnerability) to one another. Americans invested capital and credibility in exchange for regimes of surveillance of the aerospace industry, weapons trade, and the environment. At the same time, Russians agreed to become liable to American inspections, answerable to American contracts, and subject in limited degrees to American prescriptions for trade and business organization. Compliance was another matter.
In the 1990s, several (at times conflicting) post-Cold War objectives shaped the discourses and intercourses of space work. These included pressures for reduced budget expenditures, a new elan for streamlined budgets, desires to reduce nuclear arsenals, as well as a new science policy that often encouraged private industry to invest in its own R&D. The waning of the Cold War did not render space cooperation inevitable, neither did it necessitate amicable relations. Instead, Russian design philosophies of adaptability, variability, and compatibility combined with the abundance of Soviet era defense spending, providing NASA and American firms with a number of prospective bargains. The globalizing aerospace industry and 1990s trade liberalization both facilitated these transactions and benefited from them.
While Soviet-American competition in space no longer operated as quite the same driver to funding and political consensus as was characteristic of the 1960s, the people and artifacts of the Cold War continued to shape policy. Thus, for the Russians, idle productive capacity and surplus launch vehicles took on a new meaning in a new geopolitical environment.
For Americans, international scientific and technological collaboration in space were used in an attempt to promote American interests abroad with Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) regulations and later the Iran Nonproliferation Act (INA). Clinton officials anticipated that ISS contributions and US leadership would facilitate the emergence of a consensus for a new US-led Western Alliance— one that co-opted the former Soviet republics against a new block of adversaries: Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Afghanistan, and other “rogue states.”
Between 1994 and 1998, the United States paid out approximately $800 million through ISS-related activities. The Congressional Reporting Service states that in 1996 “reports surfaced of Russian entities providing ballistic missile assistance to Iran, including training; testing and laser equipment; materials; guidance, rocket engine, and fuel technology; machine tools; and maintenance manuals (see CRS Report RL30551).” In 1998, George Tenet, director of Central Intelligence, testified to the Senate Intelligence Committee that Russian aid had, “brought Iran further along in ballistic missile development than previously estimated.”106
These revelations set Congress at odds with the White House, kicking Section 6 of the INA into action, threatening to cut off funding associated with the ISS, and leaving NASA’s largest program potentially dead in the water. Controversy ensued regarding what elements of ISS collaboration applied to the “crew safety” exception of the INA, allowing for a minimum continuation of funds to the program in the interest of US astronaut safety. These discussions became all the more heated following the orbiter Columbia’s tragic accident in 2003, when NASA became completely dependent upon Soviet transport and again when President George H. W. Bush’s Vision for Space Exploration cancelled US plans for a Crew Return Vehicle, again, increasing dependence on the Soviets for access to the ISS.
Critics of the INA (including the CIA) questioned whether or not it was realistic to presume that the Russian Space Agency could be held accountable for proliferation activities that could take place among any number of firms, the Ministry of Defense, or the Ministry of Atomic Energy (which for all appearances had indeed committed proliferation “crimes” associated with Iran). INA compliance rested upon the apparently naive presumption that a carrot offered to the Russian Space Agency might (influence) behavior of the Russian government writ large. The Russian citizens responded with a range of improvisations including acquiescence and alignment as well as extortion, illusion, and outright noncompliance.
Foreign policy and national security considerations have always played leading roles in the principles and guidelines of Soviet-American space projects. Yet from 1992 onward they were executed in very different manners. Before then, high-profile collaboration in space followed nonproliferation regimes such as the 1963 Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (which made a joint lunar mission offer plausible) and the 1969 Strategic Arms Limitations Talks (which made the ASTP plausible). In both instances, abstinence from bilateral security regimes could thwart collaboration, but by no means was collaboration offered as an explicit incentive for enlistment in nonproliferation regimes.
Specifically because collaboration in space was linked to a multitude of other cultural, bureaucratic, and capitalistic linkages, enrollment in the ISS became a plausible reward ex post facto. Thus, into the 1990s, cooperation in space continued to function (to varying degrees) as one of America’s tools for legitimating power, spreading democratic ideologies, reproducing cultures of regulation, and teaching the mores of liberalized trade. How successfully?
Given the near incomprehensibility and near catastrophic disorder of the former Soviet military industrial complex, is it surprising that weapons technologies did in fact leak out? Instead we might ask, parallel to the much-debated “achievements” of the Apollo-Soyuz Test Project, to what degree did ISS and its associated attempts at post-Soviet order prompt at least a minority of Soviet representatives to “show their hand”—delineating industrial capabilities, identifying the critical state of their R&D institutions, and ultimately, reappraising their own bureaucratic potency if only to increase their legibility to the West? While the entire exercise was a categorically unsuccessful replication of Western structures and ideals, it did present at least an extension of Western capitalist order into the post-Soviet world and, therefore, a useful glimpse into the logic of American international leadership as well.