Category A VERTICAL EMPIRE

A Solid Fuel Design?

A report from Westcott dated December 1956 considered the ‘Application of Solid Propellant Motors to Medium Range Ballistic Missiles’8. Its summary states that

The studies are based chiefly on the studies of motors with plastic propellant charges of maximum length 25 ft and maximum diameter 3 ft 6 in. These maximum dimensions are considered feasible with radial burning plastic propellant charges… and are within the pressing limits of facilities already planned and requested… For a missile carrying a 4,000lb warhead, fitted with clustered motor units, the ranges calculated for single stage and two stage propulsion are respectively up to 1,300 miles and up to 2,500 miles.

Not surprisingly, given the lack of experience with solid fuel motors of such size, the report is somewhat lacking in precise detail, but instead takes various arrangements of mo tors and makes an estimate (or guess) at the range obtainable from each one.

The individual motors shown in the sketches are also very generic: other than being 3 ft 6 inches diameter and 29 ft 2 inches long, there is very little information about them. Quite why these particular dimensions have been chosen is not obvious.

A Solid Fuel Design?It is clear that the option of using solid fuel motors was not taken very seriously – there is no mention of them at all in policy papers, and it is quite possible that the study was undertaken so as to be seen to have covered all possibilities. It does not appear from the report that there had been wide consultation with those who were actually producing solid fuel motors – the limits imposed on the dimensions seem to have been rather arbitrary. Certainly there is no discussion of the degree of practicality of building motors as large as these or larger.

The payload used in the calculations is given as 4,000 lb –

Figure 36. Proposed solid fuel missile. given the later reduction in the

weight of the payload it might have

been worth revisiting some of these ideas. Unfortunately the idea of a liquid fuel missile had become too firmly entrenched by then – which is, in many ways, a pity. For comparison, let us look at the American solid fuel Minuteman missile.

The US Air Force began looking at the possibility of solid fuel motors in August 1957, in response to the Navy’s Polaris missile. The task was given to Colonel Edward Hall, who calculated that ‘the ICBM version of Weapon System Q [i. e., Minuteman] would be a three-stage, solid-fuel missile approximately 65 feet long, weighing approximately 65,000 pounds, and developing approximately 100,000-120,000 pounds of thrust at launch’. The missile would be stored vertically in underground silos and ‘would accelerate so quickly that it could fly
through its exhaust flames and not be significantly damaged’. The system was approved in February 1958 and the first successful launch was in February 1961, when the re-entry vehicle travelled a distance of 4,600 miles. Its design range was 5,500 miles. The first stage was 65 inches in diameter and 22 ft high; the whole missile was 55 ft tall – in other words, shorter than Blue Streak, almost half the diameter, a third of the weight, and it could deliver its payload near three times as far! The warhead yield was 1.2 MT and the re-entry vehicle plus warhead would have weighed in the or der of 1,000 lb.

Подпись: Figure 37. A distinctly unconvincing attempt at a solid fuel design, with seven rocket motors. Even though the US was considerably ahead in the design of solid fuel motors, developing a British solid-fuelled missile would have been quite feasible, and probably no more expensive or time consuming than developing Blue Streak, but the idea was taken no further.

The outlines of the design were now beginning to emerge: liquid fuelled, two motors, all up weight approaching 200,000 lb. It took some time for a more detailed design to emerge, however. Thus Joe Lyons of the RAE wrote in February 1956:

It had been agreed in principle that it would be a thin steel missile with propulsion at rear and the warhead at front. Titanium had been considered for the skin but was not promising. A cylindrical structure of about 10 ft diameter and length of about 60-70 ft was generally agreed. It was probable that fins would be fitted but this was not completely certain yet.9

Even the use of the NAA motors was still to be debated. A note from Serby, DG/GW (Director General/Guided Weapons at the Ministry of Supply) in March 1956 reads:

Should the missile be designed as a single-stage weapon using 2 x 135,0001b NAA motors since the AUW (All Up Weight) could be reduced and the requirement for thrust control could be eliminated if a number of smaller motors could be used?10

The thrust control issue arose from the use of large rocket motors: towards the end of the flight, when almost all the fuel was consumed, accelerations became unacceptably high. Thus there was a proposal to throttle back the motors: not an easy task.

The firms detailed to do the work had been decided back in 1955.

It is proposed that Messrs de Havilland should be responsible for the airframe and general weapon co-ordination, Rolls Royce for the rocket motor and fuel system design, Sperry for the internal inertial ‘guidance’ and autopilot, Marconi for the ground radar launching system.

Whilst relationships between the firms and the Ministry were usually good, this was not always the case with de Havilland, particularly in the early days. There were considerable cost overruns at a time of financial stringency, and at one stage the Ministry went as far as sending in Cooper Brothers, a firm of accountants from the City, to check the costs and management. And with reference to talks with Rolls Royce in 1958, the Ministry noted that

they share the view with everybody else that de Havilland can be extremely difficult and very unsatisfactory, but have no complaints to make over their immediate contacts in this particular connection. Indeed, at the working technical levels, they have a very high opinion of the de Havilland staff, but, here again, they fully share the general view about de Havilland top level people.11

To be fair, we are not given de Havilland’s views on Rolls Royce!

The debate as to the missile structure had been effectively settled by April 1957, when Wing Commander Bonser of the Ministry of Supply noted that:

A list of equipment required for the building of the ‘Blue Streak’ airframe has been submitted by the De Havilland Aircraft Division…

The equipment is required to reproduce that used by Convair for the production of the same type of pressurised structure for an American Ballistic missile. This type of structure is unique to Ballistic missiles and consists of a series of rings in stainless steel and seam welded. These rings are then welded together and fitted with stainless steel domes to form the main tanks for the liquid oxygen and kerosene. The resulting structure is of such strength that it must be kept under pressure in order to retain shape.

This very light structure and the method of production has been developed by Convairs over a very long period (5-10 years) and to save time is to be copied by De Havilland. So important is this feature of the ‘Blue Streak’ programme that it has been decided that the British missile shall have the same diameter as the American one. This means that the tools, jigs and fixtures can be reproduced with the minimum loss of time – a most important feature as the first structure is required by mid-1957.

It might be thought that work could now go ahead on Blue Streak without any further problems, but with Blue Streak that was never the case. There was constant opposition to the project throughout its life within Whitehall. This surfaces most clearly in the Treasury, but other ministries such as the Admiralty, were also against the project, as we shall see. Indeed, even the Permanent Secretary at the Ministry of Supply, the Ministry whose job it was to develop Blue Streak, was against the project. Sir Roger Makins of the Treasury, one of the ‘Great and the Good’ of the 1950s and 1960s, reported a conversation thus:

Sir Cyril Musgrave, of the Ministry of Supply, came to see me on 14th November [1956], to talk about the Medium Range Ballistic Missile. His primary objective was to talk about Spadeadam, and when I told him the Chancellor had made a decision, the main point of his visit was lost. However, he did say that the Ministry of Supply was having great difficulty in holding De Havillands at arm’s length, particularly now that the American Government had approved the contract with Convair.

I explained that the Chancellor had felt it desirable to hold up his approval of this transaction until he had an opportunity of considering the future of the M. R.B. M. in relation to the rest of the air weapons programme. On this, I believed that the Ministry of Defence were on the point of producing a paper. I would certainly do what I could to accelerate both its appearance and consideration. Sir Cyril Musgrave turned out to be a bitter opponent of the M. R.B. M. and a passionate advocate of the supersonic bomber [the Avro 730, cancelled in 1957]. He evidently relished locking horns with the Ministry of Defence on this subject.12

The transaction being referred to was the licencing by de Havilland of the technique for building the tanks – the decision had been taken to use the same construction method as the Atlas missile, with its ‘balloon’ stainless steel tanks. The passage about Musgrave is, on the face of it, extraordinary – the Ministry of Supply was simply a procurement ministry, and was not supposed to decide military policy. It demonstrates how blurred the lines can become at times.

The Chancellor certainly did hold up his approval. That conversation was in November 1956, the proposal had been made and put to the Americans; the Americans had agreed, but still the Treasury held out. The proposal reached the Chancellor himself (‘Rab’ Butler) on 4 July 1957 – eight months later. The memo began:

This is a proposal that de Havillands should buy from the American Company Convair some ‘knowhow’ for the development and production of a British intermediate range ballistic missile (Blue Streak). This knowhow will cost $700,000.

There is no doubt that if the Blue Streak project were finally agreed there would be no question of not approving this purchase. But although Ministers have taken decisions which go a long way towards the final decision to go ahead with Blue Streak, that final decision has not yet been taken.. ,13

Butler’s response was scrawled beneath in pencil:

A Solid Fuel Design?No action. Anything could happen in this field in the next 6 weeks. America might offer us the knowhow. Russia might agree to a halt in atomic tests. Everyone might agree that we should not make more fissile material. We might decide not to make a British missile.14

Подпись: Figure 38. Blue Streak's tanks - made of very thin stainless steel, they had to be kept pressurised to maintain their structural integrity. They were made from lengthi of .stainless steel rolled around into a cylinder and welded. The 48 stringers on the kerosene tank can also be seen quite clearly.

This is misleading in so many ways that it is difficult to know where to begin. A halt in atomic tests would not make the slightest difference in the military need for a missile, nor would the amount of fissile material. The Americans might have given the UK the ‘know-how’ free (unlikely, and that avenue had probably been explored already), but not all the $700,000 was just for ‘know-how’ – it included specialised welding equipment for the tank sections.

In correspondence which took place last summer, the Financial Secretary agreed that work on the MRBM should go on but asked that expenditure and commitments should be kept down to the minimum essential until the United States Government had replied to an approach regarding the sharing of information on this and other defence R & D subjects. As far as I can gather the prospects of obtaining substantial US Government help in this field are not at all encouraging. Further, they are least encouraging in the spheres of atomic weapons, of which the M. R.B. M. is, of course, one. It is not necessary here to discuss the rights and wrongs of this state of affairs as between the US Government and her most important ally; but it is worth considering what courses of action are open to us:

(i) we can drop the whole MRBM project. This would mean either that we ceased to contribute actively ourselves to the strategic deterrent or that we did so only during the lifetime, now relatively restricted, of the bomber.

(ii) we can proceed as at present, buying (with the US government’s permission) what American information we can, but in the main relying on our own brains and effort (but knowing we are far behind both the Americans and the Russians in the ballistic missile field).

(iii) we can try to regain as much lost ground as possible, by pressing the Americans, by every means within our power, to let us have the information, or the weapons, or both, that we require.15

This is an extraordinary memo. First, it recognises the dilemma that would face Whitehall for the next four years: no missile, no deterrent. In practice, the Treasury would have been more than happy to abandon the deterrent – in the mid-1960s, it thought it had succeeded. (The Foreign Office and the Ministry of Defence were described by the Treasury at one stage as the ‘last two remaining retentionist [sic] departments’. It was the politicians of the Wilson Government that wanted to keep British nuclear weapons.) The other extraordinary feature is the way the Americans are regarded as some kind of fairy godmother. There were no ‘rights or wrongs’ in this case: there had been some controversy with regard to nuclear information in the 1940s, but that certainly did not apply to missiles. The word ‘sponging’ comes to mind on reading memos such as these.

Part of the uncertainty with regard to the MRBM was due to the uncertainties in British defence policy, and Suez had a part to play in this, as Sir Cyril Musgrave noted in November 1956:

I believe, however, that Suez has once more put the Policy Review into the background and it becomes necessary to decide immediately whether we should authorise de Havillands to sign the agreement or whether we should reveal by our continued refusal that the future of the project is in doubt. This means revealing the matter to the Americans.16

The outcome of the Suez debacle was a further rethink in defence policy under the new Prime Minister, Harold Macmillan, who appointed Duncan Sandys as the new Minister of Defence with increased powers. Part of Sandys’ policy rested on missiles and nuclear weapons, which should have made Blue Streak more secure – although, paradoxically, this proved not to be the case.

The licencing of the motor proved to be much more straightforward. Rocketdyne had been set up by North American Aviation (NAA) soon after the war to build rocket motors. There were links between NAA and Rolls Royce dating back to the Second World War, when NAA had developed the Mustang fighter. The Mustang had originally been powered by an Allison engine, which was replaced by the Packard V-1650 – a variant of the famous Rolls Royce Merlin engine. Lord Hives of Rolls Royce and NAA President ‘Dutch’ Kindelberger were thus old friends, and the agreement for Rolls Royce to licence the Rocketdyne S-3 rocket motor was relatively informal (Rolls Royce had difficulty locating the contract in the early 1960s when ELDO was being formed; Val Cleaver, the chief rocket engineer at Rolls Royce, said that Hives and Kindelberger had probably signed the deal ‘on the shake of a hand’). The agreement provided ‘for the exchange of Technical Information on Rocket engines over a period of 10 years on payment by Rolls Royce to NAA of a capitol sum of $500,000 and an annual payment of $100 000.’17

Rolls Royce initially copied the S3 design and then refined and anglicised it, so that the motor could be built with purely British components. The S3 was being developed for the American Thor and Jupiter missiles, having evolved from the original V2 design via the Navaho missile. This motor burned kerosene and liquid oxygen, standard for the time, but a combination that might, in retrospect, have appeared out of date by 1960, although this is still a matter of controversy. A copy of the design, designated the RZ 1, was built by Rolls Royce and tested at Westcott. From this, the anglicised design, the RZ 2, evolved.

The Launches

Each flight model of Blue Streak was

numbered F1, F2, F3, and so on. The first

three launches – F1, F2 and F3 – were to be

just of Blue Streak itself, with a dummy

Figure 71. The Perigee Apogee nosecone weighted to simulate a payload. System, or PAS.

F4 and F5 had all dummy upper stages; F6/1 and F6/2 had live first and second stages; from F7 onwards all stages were live.

F1

F1 reached Australia on 18 January 1964. It was set up in the launch gantry, and was static fired (that is, the tanks filled and the engines ignited, but the vehicle remained tethered to the ground and not released) on 30 April. The weather caused delays to the launch throughout May, and after other delays, the launch date was set for Friday, 5 June.

A report prepared by HGR Robinson of RAE states:

The vehicle was successfully launched at 9.11 a. m. after an extremely smooth and efficient final count down, both as regards vehicle and range… The vehicle lifted off
and programmed downrange according to plan, its flight path and walking impact point following closely to nominal. At about 130 seconds, however, telemetry records indicated the commencement of incipient instability. This became marked at 140 seconds, developing into an uncontrolled corkscrew at 145 seconds. At 147.5 seconds the engine ceased thrusting, some six seconds before the planned time for engine cut. The termination of powered flight has been diagnosed as arising from fuel starvation caused by the manoeuvres of the vehicle during its final period of instability.3

The problem lay in what was called ‘fuel sloshing’ – that is, the vibrations of the vehicle caused the remaining fuel in the tanks to slosh from side to side. As the ‘slosh’ built up, the control system was unable to cope, and the vehicle corkscrewed then tumbled. It was not a difficult problem to solve – the control system could be adapted to cope, and in any case, the vibrations would be different when the upper stages were added. Figure 72 shows three frames from the film of the flight showing the last few seconds.

Подпись:

The Launches

Velocity at engine cut: Height at engine cut: Impact range:

Impact time:

Apogee height:

(n. m. = nautical miles)

F2 and F3

Repeats of F1, F2 was launched on 20 October 1964 and F3 on 22 March 1965. Both flights were extremely successful, meeting all objectives.

Modification of the autopilot reduced the sloshing on F2 to a low and stable value; additional anti-sloshing baffles were installed in the liquid oxygen tank for F3.

F4

This was a simulation of the complete vehicle, but with dummy upper stages, and the first launch to have the motors uprated to the full 150,000 lb thrust. F4 was launched on 24 May 1966 with a planned first stage boost duration of about 144.3 seconds and with the cut-off was to have been by exhaustion of the liquid oxygen. The flight was terminated after 135 seconds by the Range Safety Officer when it appeared that the vehicle was straying outside the range boundaries. This was a somewhat controversial decision, particularly when it was found that the vehicle had been inside limits; the range officer had acted on false tracking data caused by large cross-polarisation of the tracking transponder signal.

F5

F5 was a repeat of F4, and was launched on 15 Nov 1966. The flight was a success.

F6/1

Launched on 4 August 1967, the first and second stages were live, with a dummy third stage and satellite. The first stage performance was as planned, but the explosive bolts of the first/second stage separation system fired prematurely and the second stage failed to ignite. This was thought to be caused by an electrical fault which caused the second stage electronic sequencer to be reset. This meant the command to open the main valves was not given and the motors did not fire even though the main tanks had been pressurised by the gas generator.4

F6/2

This was a repeat of F6/1, launched on 5 December 1967. Again, the first stage performance was as planned, but this time the first and second stages failed to separate.

F7

The RAE report on F7 was as follows:

This vehicle was launched on the 30th November, 1968 … The most important defect during the trial was the complete failure of the 3rd stage immediately after separation from the 2nd stage. Final assessment has been unable to establish the cause of the failure but it has highlighted three areas which may have been either singularly or in combination responsible for the failure. These are firstly the pressurisation pipes which were of rigid construction. These may have fractured and for F8 a flexible element is included. Secondly, unscheduled operation of the break up system due to spikes appearing in the signal from the WREBUS system in the second stage; filters are being fitted to F8. Thirdly, the failure could have been occasioned by a rupture of the tank diaphragm which separates the two propellant liquids. This diaphragm may have been weakened during the preparation phase, and it appears that this is the most likely cause of the failure.

F8

A paper in the ELDO archives has this to say about F8:

Following the F7 trial, the Secretariat tried to inculcate a greater awareness of the need for better technical discipline and control of operations during a trial. Meetings and discussions took place with Member States on the subject of inspection and defect reporting in particular. During the F8 trial, some improvement was obvious, but it is still apparent that these disciplines are not accepted as having the importance attached to them which the Secretariat would wish. The supply and control of spares was also still far from satisfactory in the upper stage areas.5

F8 was launched on 3 July 1969. Both the first and second stages functioned correctly, but after the signal was sent to separate the third stage, it appeared to explode. The RAE report suggests that the failure was identical to that of F7, and was not a mechanical malfunction but an electrical malfunction.

F9

The subsequent RAE report describes the flight thus:

On the 12 June 1970 the vehicle was launched at 10.40 am local time… The first stage functioned correctly as predicted in the flight plan, and the second stage separated and performed as predicted. The third stage separated from the second stage and its engines ignited correctly. After engine ignition occurred the third stage helium tanks lost pressure progressively which caused the third stage engines to lose thrust and also to give intermittent thrusting. These factors gave rise to uncovering of the fuel depletion sensors and a premature engine shut down before all the propellants were used up and before orbital velocity was achieved. The satellite did in fact separate correctly from the third stage when the engine cut off signal was given.

A second major fault which occurred during the flight of the vehicle was the non-jettisoning of the satellite fairings during second stage thrusting. This fault occurred due to the unscheduled separation of a plug and socket connection between the third stage and the satellite. This plug and socket was in the circuit which should have carried the command signal to ignite the fairing jettisoning device; the continuity of this plug and socket was monitored and a disconnect was registered at +78 seconds.

The failure to achieve orbit was a combination of these two faults. Post flight calculations show that an orbit would have been achieved by the satellite even with the under-performance of the third stage had the fairings been jettisoned. On the other hand had the third stage performed correctly the complete third stage and satellite with fairings attached should have acquired orbital velocity.

A later report pinpoints the cause of the plug failure:

Investigation has shown that upon assembly of the connector, air was sealed into the cylinder at 1 atmosphere by two toroidal seals on the piston. Upon reaching a less dense atmosphere during flight, the differential pressure was sufficient to operate the piston and to separate the plug and socket. The device operated correctly in F7 and F8 because the cylinder and piston were dismantled several times before final assembly for flight. This had the effect of slightly damaging the toroidal seals and allowing a slight air leakage to occur.

There was also a problem with the pressurisation of the third stages tanks, meaning that the thrust in the last part of the flight became irregular.

F10

For budgetary reasons, there was no F10.

F11

F11 was the first and only flight from Kourou in South America. It was launched on 5 November 1971.

During the first stage burn, the vehicle went out of control and broke up due to a failure of the electronic guidance mounted at the top of the third stage. As the vehicle accelerated, air resistance caused the temperature of the fairings to rise, and at the same time, an electrostatic charge built up on the fairings. Air at low pressure and a high temperature can conduct relatively easily; there was a discharge from the fairings to the main third stage body which disrupted the electronic systems, leading to a loss in control.

F12 and F13 were never launched: the Europa programme was abandoned on 27 April 1973. Blue Streak never flew again.

Eleven Blue Streaks were launched: F1 to F9 (there were two F6s, F6/1 and F6/2) and F11.

F12 is at French Guiana, or parts of it are. The stainless steel tanks (which would not corrode in the equatorial heat and rain) are being used as a chicken coop.

F13 is at the Deutsches Museum, Munich.

F14 is at the Aircraft Museum at East Lothian, outside Edinburgh.

F15 is at the Euro Space Centre, Redu, Belgium.

F16 was not finally completed (and is now on display at the Space Museum at Leicester).

F17 and F18: by the time of the final cancellation these vehicles were only parts, and not fully assembled.

In addition to these vehicles, several non-flight prototypes were built. These included D1 to D4, some of which were for trials at Hatfield, others were taken to Spadeadam for static firings. Another, designated DA, was shipped to Australia before the flight vehicles, and set up on the launch site for static testing. This was to test the Woomera site and give experience to the Australian team. DB was static fired at Spadeadam to check the engines. In addition, there was a further prototype vehicle, DG, used to prove the Blue Streak launch site at Kourou, in French Guiana.

BK18

Two stage. Launched 30 November 1962 at 02:03. Apogee 358 miles.

BK18 was the second proving vehicle for the Gamma 301 engine and the transistor control system. The head was a 12.5o semi-angle doorstops cone, 2 inch nose radius and with a semi-elliptical base, and was fitted with accelerometers and rate gyroscopes for investigation of re-entry dynamics. No provision was made to measure re-entry heating.

Propulsion was once again excellent; a re-entry velocity of 15,750 ft/second was attained at 200,000 ft. The transistor control system was proved for the second time. The guidance telescope tracking problem was again evident, and the guidance radar information was used throughout flight for guidance and proved most satisfactory. All the vehicle systems were successful. The second stage flare was ignited in vacuo and proved to be a useful acquisition aid for sighting ground instruments. Ground instrumentation was successfully operated and re-entry instruments data was obtained. The head tape recorder was recovered and all the data was successfully recorded, from which the dynamic behaviour of the head during re-entry was determined.

The ‘Might Have Beens’

In any field like aerospace, there will always be projects on the drawing board which never make it through to hardware. Sometimes this is because they are simply bad designs, or sometimes because their rationale has disappeared. Quite often there is simply not the money for them. Thus, although the UK had the technical ability to produce an excellent large satellite launcher, it did not do so because it did not perceive a need for satellites at all, neither did it have the money to pay for them.

The historian must also be wary of the glossy brochures which are produced by the aerospace companies. Some are simply not technically feasible. One artist’s impression in a BAC brochure had four Blue Steel missiles mounted under the wing of Concorde. Quite what the four missiles would do for the aerodynamics of the aircraft was not mentioned. Other brochures simply do not take into account political realities – whilst the Blue Streak/Centaur proposal was technically very interesting, it would have been a purely British design and would have needed an equatorial launch site. The prospect of the French agreeing to allow the British to use Kourou for their own benefit was remote.

There are other possible pitfalls for potential historians, particularly in regard to oral histories. People who worked on projects years ago might say, ‘I remember a study being done on…’ without necessarily remembering why the study was being carried out, the outcome of the study, or, if it was rejected, why it was rejected. Similarly, there are many ‘back of the envelope’ ideas which never see the light of day, and rightly so.

Many of the engineers working on the projects at the time were not able to see the wider policy picture. This is partly because much of the work was secret and heavily compartmentalised, partly because commercial firms were not privy to the workings of government, and partly because engineers are sometimes prone to the mentality that because a thing can be done, it should be done. There is sometimes the feeling among them, unspoken, inchoate, but nevertheless real, that ‘our toys were taken away’. What were the wider policy issues?

The UK undoubtedly had the capacity to develop large satellite launchers, and the saga related in this book is frustrating for the enthusiast because the drawings could have been converted to reality with two extra ingredients: money, and the will to go ahead. In the end, the projects did not go forward mainly because the governments of the time did not think them a worthwhile use of money and resources, and in hindsight, that decision can be argued to be the correct one.

First of all, what do you want a satellite launcher for? To launch satellites. Why do you want to launch satellites? Nowadays, that seems obvious, with telecommunications satellites and satellite TV and so on. But it was not obvious in the 1950s and early 1960s.

Interestingly, one of the very first UK studies on the possibilities of satellites was done as early as 1955, looking at their suitability for reconnaissance. In the 1950s much covert reconnaissance of Russia was being carried out by Britain and America using spy planes like the U2, or the high-altitude Canberra, partly because maps of the USSR were so poor. If you wanted to target a missile complex you had to know where it was and whether it even existed. Indeed, the Americans were to launch a vast number of reconnaissance satellites: there were 145 such launch attempts between February 1959 and May 1972. (This military involvement also makes launching other satellites very much cheaper: the launch facilities and radar tracking stations are already there, and the economies of scale are very considerable.) Information exchange between Britain and the US meant that the British requirement disappeared, although it was to surface much later in the 1980s as the proposed Zircon satellite, designed for signals intelligence.

Many other projects initiated by the US, although seemingly innocent, also had military origins. Next in usefulness were navigation satellites, forerunners of the ubiquitous GPS system so useful to yachtsmen and motorists. These had the Polaris submarines in mind: how does a submerged submarine know its position accurately enough to launch missiles? Raising an antenna to pick up a satellite is one answer.

Communication satellites were not taken seriously until the early 1960s. A paper prepared by the Post Office around December 1959 comes out against geosynchronous satellites as famously described by Arthur C. Clarke in 1945. They were considered too far in the future even for the US, and that the quarter second delay was too much for telephony – the users would not care for it.

A long Ministry of Aviation paper in April 1959 considered the uses then foreseen. First of all, it was reckoned that a Blue Streak/Black Knight launch vehicle and five satellites would cost at least £10 million to develop (would that were so!). This could not be justified on the Defence Budget because the foreseeable direct benefits were slender. Then it considered the various possible uses for satellites, including reconnaissance, communications, meteorology and navigation. The report noted that American claims that a manned satellite has important military value were difficult to appreciate on any reasonable time scale, and refers to them as belonging to a ‘futuristic space platform age’. (In that respect they were right: no military uses for manned space stations have been found.) Weapons delivery posed severe technical problems on accuracy of delivery, reliability and security, and would raise serious political problems.

So although the report goes through the possibilities quite thoroughly, as with all these studies, the enthusiasm is lukewarm. Certainly, as time went by, defence interest in satellites, apart from communications, resulting in the Skynet satellites launched by the US, decreased steadily. Commercial applications were not even considered at this early stage.

The first transatlantic communications satellite was Telstar: launched by NASA aboard a Delta rocket from Cape Canaveral in 1962, it was the first privately sponsored space launch. Telstar was placed in an elliptical orbit with a period of 2 hours 37 minutes, but its availability for transatlantic signals was limited to 20 minutes in each orbit that passed over the Atlantic Ocean (which not all of them would). Unlike geostationary satellites, the transmitting and receiving dishes had to be steered continuously to track the satellite.

In 1962, a Commonwealth Conference on Communications Satellites was held in London. This might be looked upon as the last gasp of the old Imperial ideal, attempting to link the countries of the Commonwealth (still consisting, in the main, of the old ‘white’ Commonwealth). Much talk was made of the Black Prince concept, although the conference showed up one of the major weaknesses of Black Prince and Europa: whilst too big and expensive for the likes of scientific satellites, they were crucially that bit too small to put any appreciable payload in a geosynchronous orbit. Ingenious attempts were made to suggest elliptical 12-hour or 8-hour orbits, but these were at best an inadequate solution. Other papers and conferences suggested that such a system could be profitable, but even so, this was not sufficient incentive to produce a launcher that would be adequate.

The scientific community wanted to launch satellites for space research, but the UK science budget was already stretched, and whilst it might support a few research satellites, it certainly could not support a launcher programme. Even the number of purely British scientific satellites launched on American launchers is very small.

There was a final category of satellite put forward by RAE in the 1960s – the small technological satellite. These would be small and low cost, but would test out systems for more ambitious projects. This is quite a reasonable concept – putting a variety of new technologies in one satellite has obvious weaknesses – but even these were growing too large for Black Arrow. And the Treasury’s response? If these technologies need developing, then let commercial enterprises develop them.

One new idea, and one that has not yet been fully exploited, is the ion motor. In theory, this has an enormous S. I. Atoms are stripped of an electron and the resultant ions are then accelerated through a very high voltage. This has the potential to produce enormous exhaust velocities, the power necessary being provided electrically from solar cells. The X5 satellite was intended to test this concept. Its motor would accelerate the ions through 25 kV, with a beam current of 25 mA, which would need 625W of power. The resultant thrust was only 0.015 N, but a small thrust over a very long period of time would have the same effect as a large thrust for a short time.

But assuming that the policy makers in the UK decided that they did want to launch satellites for whatever purpose, what were the designs that could have pressed into service to launch them? The projects below are not arranged in any great order of significance, but rather the intention is to take a somewhat meandering walk through the ‘might have beens’ in terms of launcher design.

Introduction

It has been said that Britain acquired an empire in a fit of absent-mindedness. It might also be said that it acquired a rocketry programme in a similar fit of absent-mindedness. The UK space programme, or rocketry programme, has always been so low key that the public perception is that the UK has never even had a space programme. Yet for a time in the late 1950s and throughout the 1960s, the programme was technically as advanced as any in the world. If it did not achieve the high profiles of Sputnik, Vostok or Apollo, it is in the main because the projects were less ambitious, subject to much greater financial restrictions, and had a more modest goal. Most of the work was driven by the needs of the military. This was true too in the USA and USSR, but there the civilian effort also became caught up in the Cold War propaganda battles. Kennedy’s cry to arms ‘… to put a man on the moon before this decade is out …’ had no resonances in the UK, and the motives that drove many of the other projects in the US were also very often military in origin, even if they have been used in civilian guise. GPS began as a way for nuclear submarines to fix their position so they could launch their missiles more accurately.

It must be admitted at the outset that almost all the work described here began life as a military project designed to obliterate cities and their inhabitants. The biggest project of all described in this book is Blue Streak, whose sole purpose was to launch hydrogen bombs at the USSR. It was only later that its application to a satellite launcher was seized upon as a political fig leaf for an embarrassed Government, and even then many of the potential satellites might well have been military. Likewise, Blue Steel was intended to deliver megaton warheads. Black Knight was a research vehicle whose initial function was to act as a test bed for Blue Streak and to research re-entry vehicles for nuclear warheads. Black Arrow and Skylark were the only major projects discussed here whose applications were intended to be solely civilian and scientific.

In the end, though, the British work on rocketry and satellite launchers died, mainly as a consequence of lack of funding, political vacillation and a perceived lack of need either for satellites or other forms of space research, whether military or commercial. Although now there is a developing and thriving international commercial market for the launching of communications satellites in particular, the British rocketry programme is certainly now completely dead and there is no prospect of resurrection. All the engineers with any relevant experience have retired long ago. All the infrastructure has disappeared. It is ironic that the systems that were built and tested in the 1960s, and then abandoned, could have been commercially successful in the 1980s and 1990s. It was, perhaps, a penalty paid for being too early in the field.

To understand the story fully, we have to go back more than half a century, to the early days of the Cold War. During the Cold War era, the USA and USSR were driven by ideological pressures that the UK did not experience. Each feared the other and their systems of government. In addition, when it came to development and production of hardware, they had vastly greater resources than the UK. Indeed, the USSR can be said to have ‘lost’ the Cold War in the sense that it was driven into final collapse in part by the demands of the military and space programmes on its shaky economy. In some sense that was true for Britain as well: after Blue Streak, there was little further attempt to develop a purely indigenous deterrent system. Since the mid-1960s, the deterrent has been maintained at minimal expense.

Politically, missiles and the nuclear threat meant very different things to the UK compared with the USA and USSR. The UK had no hope of ‘winning’ a nuclear war, given its limited geography (no-one else did, but there was a perception among some in America that a nuclear war was ‘winnable’). America and Russia were driven by a paranoid fear that the one was intent on the other’s destruction, and the ideologies of the two were so far apart as to be virtually irreconcilable, despite ideas of ‘peaceful co-existence’.

The UK had no such geopolitical or ideological dynamic. It had a considerable interest in the state of Europe and the Continental balance of power, as it always has had, but that interest was to be subsumed into NATO, whose purpose, as its first Secretary General, Lord Ismay, put it, was ‘to keep the Americans in, the Russians out, and the Germans down’. The UK had also suffered tremendous economic damage in the Second World War, from which it took a long time to recover. In addition to the expenses of maintaining a far flung Empire, it also had to provide an army of occupation for Germany. One of the problems of wanting to be a Great Power is taking on the burdens and expenses of Great Power status, which Britain was less and less able to do after the war. And then the nuclear factor entered into the equation.

The story of the development of the Bomb is a complicated one, but most of the theoretical and practical work was carried out by European emigres, backed up by American know-how and resources. The UK sent many of its atomic scientists to America. The US and UK agreed to pool information, an agreement that was to fall foul of a later Act of Congress, the McMahon Act. But the British need for nuclear weapons in the immediate post-war period was not that pressing, since the only country that possessed such weapons at that time was America, Britain’s closest ally. Possession of nuclear weapons by the UK would have been useful for the influence they may have carried, but were not at that stage essential to the strategic balance, and would not have had much military significance. They have always been weapons of mass destruction, aimed more at cities than at armies.

As earlier noted, Britain’s interests were in her Empire and in Europe. In neither of these areas were nuclear weapons necessary or desirable. But that picture changed in 1949 with the explosion of the first Russian nuclear device. This was to be the first of the many scares that the Soviet Union was reaching parity with or overtaking the West technologically. The need for a British nuclear device now became that much more pressing since the Soviet Union was now perceived to be the most likely candidate for hostilities within the foreseeable future. Then came all the various nuclear scenarios that were so to bedevil military and political planners. In what circumstances would the UK need to use such weapons? In what circumstances might they be used on the UK? NATO doctrine held that an attack on one was an attack on all, but there was always the unspoken fear – would America risk nuclear annihilation for the sake of London? Or Bristol, or Birmingham? No one wanted to find out, and, fortunately, we never did.

Another factor, which should not be discounted, was that, as mentioned earlier, Britain still regarded herself as one of the leading Powers. If the other two had the Bomb, then Britain should have a Bomb too, not from any intrinsic merit of ownership, but so as to keep a seat at the Top Table. The ‘nuclear club’ was a club she felt she could not afford to be excluded from, yet could only just afford to join.

So work on a British nuclear device began very soon after the war. Soon Britain would have a working device. But there was the problem common to all three powers as to how the Bomb would be delivered. In the early post-war period, there was no alternative to the bomber, and the UK had produced some excellent jet bomber designs in the V bombers – the Valiant, Victor and Vulcan, which were to give sterling service to the UK for many years. Indeed, the Operational Requirement was issued at the end of the war, and nearly 40 years later, Vulcans were used in the Falklands conflict in the bombing role, with Victors in the tanker role.

It was realised in the early 1950s that with the increase in sophistication of missile defences, the V bombers, or bombers in general, would be increasingly vulnerable. Certainly it was expected that the likes of Moscow and other major cities would be surrounded by rings of guided weapons that could take out all but the most major bombing offensive – hence the issue of Operational Requirement OR 1132 in September 1954 for a stand-off missile, which would become Blue Steel. In 1954, the principal problem for such weapons was guidance over a long distance of flight (accuracy decreases with time of flight), and with that in mind, Blue Steel was designed with an operational range of 100 nautical miles. This would keep the bomber clear of Moscow and its attendant defences, although still leaving them with a large amount of hostile territory to cross.

At the same time, the Americans were working on various air-breathing long – range missiles, precursors of the later cruise missile. Ballistic missiles were being worked on by von Braun’s team, and by Convair under Brossart, but neither technology had advanced sufficiently to produce an effective weapons system that could deliver a nuclear device over a range of some thousands of miles. In

1954, Duncan Sandys of the UK and Charles Wilson of the US signed an agreement to share information on the development of ballistic missiles. By

1955, technology, particularly in guidance, had advanced far enough for serious design work to begin on a UK ballistic missile, Blue Streak, with a range sufficient to reach Moscow (the criterion for any UK nuclear delivery system) and beyond. At the same time, a parallel programme, called Black Knight, was also started to carry out some of the basic research, particularly on re-entry vehicles. And America began work on a much longer range missile, Atlas.

At that time, thermonuclear warheads were much more massive than they would subsequently become, and so all the early missiles designed by the US, by the USSR, and by the UK turned out to be far larger than was in the end necessary. This was to have important consequences as far as the Soviet Union and Sputnik were concerned. The enormous ballistic missile that had been developed by the Russians turned out to be much more effective as a satellite launcher. Neither the UK nor the US had designed anything quite as big as the Russian R-7, or Semiorka. Western politicians, often technically ignorant themselves and with axes to grind, assumed that these immensely powerful Russian boosters meant the Russians were that much further ahead in technology. In effect the reverse was true. The West had not built such large rockets because they were not necessary once lighter warheads had been developed.

Height/ft

Mass/lb

Thrust/lb

Semiorka R-7

98

588,000

874,000

Atlas E

92

260,000

385,000

Blue Streak*

~70*

198,000

270,000*

Thor

65

110,000

150000

* In its probable configuration if it had been deployed operationally.

All the early Western missiles such as Blue Streak, Thor, Atlas and Titan I, were designed to use kerosene and liquid oxygen as fuels, as did the first Soviet designs. Solid fuel rockets had not yet sufficient size or range given the weight of the warheads of the 1950s. (Minuteman and Polaris were designed assuming warheads would get lighter.) Such large rockets were also very vulnerable to a first strike attack, so would have to be stored in and fired from underground storage silos, hardened against nuclear attack. This added considerably to the expense of the system, and meant in addition that the missile and silo complex itself became a target.

All these missiles were close contemporaries in conception. Where they differed was that America and Russia pressed ahead with development despite the cost.

Development was carried on with Blue Streak as fast as funds allowed, although the whole project was bedevilled throughout its life by Treasury reluctance to release the necessary money. It could be said of the whole history of Blue Streak from 1955 to 1970 that the technical will was there, the political will was there intermittently, and the financial will was never there. It is astonishing how well the morale of those involved with the project stood up in the face of such political and financial uncertainty.

But in 1957 came the shock of Sputnik. The psychological effect on the Americans was considerable, and Atlas, among others, became a crash programme. In more than just the defence field, the US felt it had been overtaken. This led, among other things, to a massive effort in science and technical education. Its effect on British opinion was very much more muted. Britain did not see itself in any technological race, and was not perturbed by the thought of a satellite orbiting overhead. In the US, it was felt almost as an invasion of the country. Britain had suffered bombing of London as early as 1916, but the US had never experienced hostile aircraft in its skies. Sputnik was perceived in those terms.

Curiously enough, the Rand Corporation (and the RAE) had been undertaking studies into reconnaissance satellites, and had recognised that one legal problem might be that a satellite orbiting over another country may be taken as an invasion of the other country’s airspace. This is one of the reasons why the first planned US satellite was intended to be perceived as entirely civilian and part of the 1957 Geophysical Year. Sputnik had resolved this problem at a stroke. The Russians were in no position now to claim invasion of their airspace by American reconnaissance satellites.

Back in the UK, by 1958 the Black Knight rocket programme, intended to provide a lot of the basic research for Blue Streak, was up and running. It would yield a lot of useful information for the UK and the US on the physics of re-entry vehicles, necessary for any ballistic missile system, and also for studies into possible defences against them. The first flight of Blue Streak was planned for 1960, when the decision was taken by the Macmillan Government to cancel the system for military purposes. The reasons for this are complex and will be explored further in the Blue Streak chapters. In the same way that the USSR was eventually driven out of the arms race, so too was the UK, becoming increasingly reliant on the US for delivering its deterrent.

Mainly, I suspect, to minimise the political damage that ensued from the decision, it was announced that although Blue Streak had been cancelled as a weapons system, work would still continue, albeit at a much reduced rate, on developing a satellite launcher based on the missile. At least £60 million (all costs are given as of the period and not corrected for inflation), if not more, including large sums at Woomera by the Australians, had been spent on the project by this stage. A design, which would be known as Black Prince from the Saunders Roe brochure, or more inelegantly in official papers as the BSSLV (Blue Streak Satellite Launch Vehicle), had been under consideration for some time. It would have used Blue Streak as the first stage together with the proven technology of Black Knight as the second stage. Again, though, the major problem was money: one source mentioned that the development costs would amount to half the annual UK university budget, which even given the relatively small university sector in the UK at the time, gave pause for thought. And although the US military had found many uses for satellites, there was not the same perceived need by the UK military, particularly since British Intelligence had access to a good deal of the US information. Although the scientific community would have liked to launch various satellites (a stellar ultraviolet telescope was a favourite project), there were not the funds available in the civilian science research budget. Hence the UK was in danger of building a satellite launcher with no satellites to launch.

The decision was then taken to involve other nations in the project in the hope of sharing the costs. The Old Commonwealth countries were not interested, or lacked the finances and resources. France might be interested, but there was also the opportunity for France to acquire much needed data relevant to its own ballistic missile programme, which led to some difficulties and embarrassment. In the end, the European Launcher Development Organisation, ELDO, was born with little enthusiasm from many of its members. And the ELDO launcher ran into considerable criticism almost from the start, being widely perceived as unnecessary and based on obsolete technology.

The latter criticism was unfounded, although the much slower pace of development in the cash-strapped UK meant that the US tended to be there first. But Blue Streak remained irredeemably tarnished by its cancellation for military purposes. It had, however, the potential to be the equivalent of almost any American launcher until the Saturn vehicles. ELDO was both a political failure and a technical failure. Blue Streak itself performed almost flawlessly, but the same could not be said of the French and German upper stages. One of the reasons for this problem was that the other European countries were a good deal less experienced than Britain; another was that putting together a vehicle designed and built by three different teams of engineers in three different countries, speaking three different languages, was no mean feat. ELDO and its launcher died, never to be resurrected.

And what of the other project, Black Knight? After 22 successful firings, the project was declared at an end. But while the UK was still a member of ELDO, a decision was taken to proceed with an alternative, much smaller satellite launcher, and this would be based on Black Knight. The new design was called Black Arrow.

Two test vehicles were flown, one successful and one not, and then an orbital attempt failed by a small margin. On 29 July 1971, the announcement was made that Black Arrow was cancelled. However, the fourth vehicle was subsequently fired and achieved orbit on 28 October 1971, and that, effectively, was the end of rocketry in the UK. Skylark launches would continue for another 34 years, but there was little further development of the vehicle.

Space science has continued, and the UK has always been successful at building satellites. Indeed, Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd (SSTL) has been one of the major success stories of the past decade. It is also perhaps an exemplar of what the Treasury was maintaining – that if there is money to be made in space, then let private business get on with it.

Project Names

In the 1950s, the fashion in the UK was to give many of the military projects two word code names, the first of which was a colour: thus Orange Herald, Blue Streak, Yellow Sun, Red Duster, Violet Club, Green Flax and so on. A good code name should reveal nothing about the nature of the project. However, Yellow Sun for an H bomb was a bit of a giveaway, since the sun is a gigantic fusion reactor (or perhaps not: Mark 1 was not what is commonly understood by a ‘hydrogen bomb’, so perhaps there was an element of double bluff).

The rocketry projects covered in this book are Blue Steel, Blue Streak, Black Knight, Black Prince, Black Arrow and the various rocket interceptors. The ‘Black’ designations were applied, albeit unofficially, to research projects without a direct military application; indeed, Black Arrow was entirely civilian, but was named by extension from Black Knight, as probably was Black Prince.

The Rocket Propulsion Establishment (RPE) at Westcott, Buckinghamshire, produced many solid fuel rocket motors. A Superintendent who had been in charge of the Establishment had been a keen ornithologist, and so all the motors produced there were named after birds: Raven, Rook, Cuckoo, Waxwing etc.

Turbopumps or Pressure Feed

The pressure inside a combustion chamber can be very high – typically 500 psi or 33 bar. In the vacuum of space, a lower pressure can be used, but the efficiency of any rocket motor is reduced if used in the atmosphere, and one way of increasing the efficiency is by using as high a chamber pressure as possible. The question then is how to feed a large quantity of fuel into the chamber at such high pressure.

There are two options: a pump, or by pressurising the fuel tanks.

Pressurising the tanks had one big drawback: the tank walls had to be strong enough to withstand the pressure, which implies they are also going to be heavy.

The tanks can be pressurised from separate gas bottles, but, for large tanks at high pressure, that has a considerable weight penalty: the gas bottles themselves will be thick-walled and thus heavy. The alternative is a gas generator – two chemicals being mixed to produce large volumes of gas. The French stage of Europa used a gas generator; the German third stage was pressurised by helium in gas bottles. The great advantage of the system is that it is extremely simple and so there is little to go wrong.

A pump has to be driven by something – there needs to be a turbine which is normally driven by fuel from the main tanks. In HTP motors, the kerosene and HTP were well suited to the purpose; the RZ 2 motors in Blue Streak had a turbine which used an excess of kerosene – that is, it burned fuel rich – to keep the temperature down. This can be seen very clearly in Blue Streak launches: the turbines produce bright yellow flames as a result of the excess of carbon.

The great advantage of pump versus pressure is that with a pump, the tanks can be as thin-walled as structurally possible (Atlas and Blue Streak took this rather to extremes). Some small pressure is still needed in the tank for the pump to function, but it is relatively small. One drawback is the extra weight of the turbine and pumps. Another is that the system is relatively complex, and provides another opportunity for something to go wrong.

One of the major problems, particularly with regard to the higher thrust engines, was producing pumps powerful enough to cope with the quantity of propellant at the high pressures needed, as this chart shows:

Flow rate (fuel + oxidant) Combustion chamber pressure

(lb/second)

(lbf/in2)

Snarler

10

300

Screamer

24

600

Beta

14

320

Gamma 1

39

450

Delta 1

205

500

RZ 2

560

525

The Missile Design

The rocket structure, like Ancient Gaul, could be thought of in three parts: the engine bay at the bottom, the main tank structure containing all the fuel in the missile, and the ancillary equipment, guidance and payload at the top. The engine bay, containing two RZ 2 motors, was 9 ft in diameter (so designed for transport by air), but the elegance of the final shape of the missile was rather spoiled by two panniers either side containing nitrogen to pressurise the kerosene tank. The liquid oxygen tank could be pressurised by oxygen gas derived from the liquid via heat exchangers. So in June 1957, de Havilland stated that

the propellant tanks, constructed of 0.019 inch thick stainless steel, remained unaltered. External stringers on the rear (kerosene) tank would permit the weight of the head to be supported without pressuring the rear tank. This would in turn allow the kerosene to be drained from the missile in the event of a failure occurring on the launcher.18

The upper tank had to be kept pressurised at all times to prevent the structure collapsing under its own weight. These 48 stringers also helped to give Blue Streak its distinctive appearance. Inside the fuel tanks were various baffles to prevent the sloshing of fuel, but missiles such as Blue Streak are not much more than gigantic thin-walled tanks.

For Atlas, skin gauges varied throughout the structure, being tailored to meet local stresses. The heaviest skin gauge was forty thousandths of an inch. By comparison, the skin gauge for Blue Streak was nineteen thousandths, but the lower section, the kerosene tank, was re-inforced with stringers. Blue Streak was simpler in being a pure cylinder, whereas the Atlas tanks tapered at the top. The most probable cause of the failure of such a structure in compression is what is known as Euler buckling – the process that occurs when you step onto an empty soft drinks can. But there were other reasons for the reinforcements.

A structure such as Blue Streak or Atlas is also very vulnerable to sideways bending forces, particularly when transmitting large loads vertically. These can originate from sideways gusts of winds, and also from the act of swivelling the rocket motors off centre for control purposes. Indeed, the two motors were to be inclined inwards slightly so that their thrust lines passed through the centre of gravity of the missile. Another problem to which liquid fuel rockets are prone is ‘sloshing’ which occurs when the liquid sloshes from side to side in the tanks as the vehicle rocks. Although it is often said that Blue Streak performed impeccably for ELDO in the 1960s and 1970s, this is not quite true. Sloshing of the fuel towards the very end of the first flight, F1, on 5 June 1964, overcame the control system and caused the missile to tumble uncontrollably.

The most important parameter for a ballistic rocket using no aerodynamic lift forces is the engine thrust. Two of the RZ 2 motors (see Figure 39) gave a thrust of 270,000 lb. Given that the smallest practicable initial acceleration is 0.3 g (and there is a good case to make this bigger in a missile) then the lift-off weight is of the order of 200,000 lb. Some of this, perhaps 4,000 lb, is payload. The rest is divided between fuel and structure, so that structure plus fuel amounts to 196,000 lb. Given 10% as structure, as an arbitrary figure, then this gives fuel weight as around 175,000 lb. Given the densities of the fuels, their volumes can be calculated. Given a diameter for the rocket – say 10 ft – then the length of the tanks can be estimated. Using these ‘back of the envelope’ calculations, then the outline of Blue Streak is quite easily arrived at. For comparison, the F1 vehicle with a dummy load of a ton, had a lift off mass of 205,000 lb, 190,000 lb of which was fuel. Detailed design is, of course, another matter.

Some of the design details were more obvious than others – for example, the tanks needed pressurising. For the oxygen tank this was simple enough: a small amount of the liquid can be vapourised in a heat exchanger and piped up to the tank. Pressurising the kerosene tank with oxygen gas would not have been a good idea: instead, nitrogen gas was used, being stored in spherical bottles in panniers either side of the engine bay.

Whilst the tank section was to be built and tested at de Havilland’s site at Hatfield, testing the rocket motors was another matter. A purpose-built site would be needed for engine development and also for static firing of the complete vehicle. Not only would this be extremely noisy, it was potentially quite hazardous given the amount of combustible fuel contained within Blue Streak’s tanks. The site chosen was Spadeadam on the moors near Carlisle.

The Missile Design

Figure 39. The Rolls Royce RZ 2 rocket motors that powered Blue Streak.

The Treasury was of course concerned with the cost: an estimate of £10.2 million for the construction of the Spadeadam site in April 1956 had become £12.3 million by October (and the final cost would be much higher). There is an interesting comment in a slightly later memo:

If a decision were taken to stop work on the MRBM… there would be a saving of some £70m. or more over the next ten years.19

If only the total cost had come to a mere £70 million! The decision to go ahead with Blue Streak was not yet firm at this time, and a further memo noted:

… it is probable that in the Policy Review a choice may have to be made between the supersonic bomber and the MRBM as research and development projects. The cost of R. and D. for the supersonic bomber would be about £70 million over the next 10 years – roughly the same figures as those for the MRBM, but the costs of producing and maintaining an appropriate number of supersonic bombers . would probably be higher than the costs of an appropriate number of MRBMs.20

Spadeadam was split into five areas: the Administration area; the liquid oxygen factory, which was owned and run by the British Oxygen Company; the Component Test Area situated at Rushy Knowe; the Engine Test Area at Prior Lancy; and the Rocket Test Area situated at Greymare Hill.

The site is described in a Ministry of Aviation paper of November 1961 (the English is slightly eccentric at times):

The Spadeadam Rocket Establishment was built by the Ministry of Works on behalf of the Ministry of Aviation for the purpose of developing and the static testing of the British Ballistic Missile ‘Blue Streak’.

The Establishment is situated on the Cumberland Fells about twenty miles North-east of Carlisle and covers an area of approximately 8,000 acres. It comprises five main areas, three of which are test areas for the static testing of the complete missile, propulsion units and of the rocket engine component parts respectively.

As a safety measure these areas are separated by distances of up to one and three-quarter miles. This dispersion has required the construction of six miles of road connecting the ‘Areas’ on the Establishment.

MISSILE TEST AREA

This Test Area comprises two missile stands each with a traversing servicing tower on which the missiles are statically tested including the firing of the propulsion units.

By means of the gantry incorporated in the servicing tower, the missile is erected into the vertical firing position on the concrete emplacement situated at the end of a 300-ft concrete causeway.

Built into the emplacement is a steel flame deflector weighing nearly seventy tons for deflecting to the horizontal plane the jets of the rocket motors.

The large quantity of water required to maintain the temperature of the flame deflectors at a safe temperature level is pumped to the test stands via 36" diameter pipelines supplied from a one-million gallon reservoir situated adjacent to the Missile Test Area.

The necessary liquid propellants and high pressure nitrogen gas used for pressurising are stored in this area.

The Missile tests are instrumentated and controlled remotely from a central block­house situated approximately 1000-ft. from the test stands (both of which stands will be evacuated when firing is taking place on either stand) built of reinforced concrete. The tests may be observed from the Control Block-house by means of periscopes and closed-circuit television. In addition to the recording of test data on magnetic tape, film records of the tests are made by cine-cameras situated at strategic points around the test stand.

The main Instrumentation System comprises 19 Control Consoles, 4 Checkout Consoles, (46 Chart-type Recorders) with a capacity of 285 channels and three types of magnetic tape recorders with a total of 32 Information Channels. The Control Centre and each test Stand are connected by over 3,500 wires.

ENGINE TEST AREA

This area, in which the individual propulsion units are test fired, consists of three engine test stands… spaced 250-ft apart. A fourth test stand is partially complete.

Each stand consists of a massive concrete and steel structure in which the liquid propellant rocket engines are mounted to fire vertically downwards into a water cooled flame deflector which deflects the flame into the horizontal plane. The propellants used are Kerosine for the fuel and liquid oxygen for the oxidant. The early engine produced and evaluated by R-R Ltd. developed 135,000-lb thrust.

The Missile Design

Figure 40. The picture above shows a flight model Blue Streak (note the painted spiral) on a test stand at Spadeadam. The vehicle would be assembled, filled with fuel, and static fired before being shipped out to Woomera in Australia for launch.

The quantity of water used for flame deflector cooling, storage facilities and transfer systems are similar to those provided in the Missile Test Area.

At a distance of 600-ft from the nearest Engine Test Stand is the Control Block­house constructed of 2-ft thick reinforced concrete. This building is equipped with 130 chart-type recording instruments, four 24-channel oscillographs and, when fully equipped, eight control consoles for the remote control of the test equipment and the rocket engine during test. A large number of chart recording instruments are needed to obtain the maximum amount of technical data during the short duration of the test.

An underground concrete duct, 7-ft square and 1,100-ft in length, inter-connects the test stands with the control room for the routing of approximately 8,000 instrumentation and control cables.

The test firings are also recorded by cine-cameras from various locations around the test stands, the cameras being controlled remotely from the control room. These filmed records in addition to the other test records are processed and analysed in the Establishment.

Improving Europa

The first geosynchronous communications satellite was Syncom 2, in July 1963 (since the orbit was inclined to the equator, it was not, strictly speaking, geostationary). The first geostationary communications satellite was Syncom 3, launched in August 1964, and used to transmit the 1964 Olympics in Tokyo to the United States.

It was the French who, as early as 1964, realised the limitations of Europa and proposed that it should be dropped in favour of a more powerful design. To be fair, the design had been put together without much of a rationale behind the overall concept other than to produce a satellite launcher, and there had been no clear idea of what satellites it might be launching. Although Europa might be able to put a respectable payload into low earth orbit, there was simply no demand in Europe for such a capability. On the other hand, the French were quick to see the possibilities in communications satellites (unlike the British, who remained sceptical for a long time). ELDO A’s capacity for geostationary orbit was minimal or non-existent.

The French Government’s proposal was to replace the planned upper stages of ELDO A with what were usually referred to as ‘high energy stages’ – in other words, liquid hydrogen. An ELDO review paper of 1964 shows the thinking behind these designs [translated from the original French by the author]:

By 1963, the Secretariat had requested proposals from the member states for the

design of launchers using upper stages with high energy propellants.

The feasibility studies were placed by the Secretariat in November 1963. They

consisted essentially of two types of launchers:

– a launcher ELDO-B whose design used as first stage the Blue Streak of the Initial Programme. This launcher should be able to place at least 2 tonnes in low orbit and, with an apogee motor, at least 500kg in a synchronous orbit.

Подпись:a launcher ELDO-C which had been defined by its performance (6 to 10 tonnes in low orbit – 1.7 tonnes to escape velocity).

The reports corresponding to these studies have been studied by the Secretariat. Work complementary to these studies on these launchers has also been undertaken.

As a consequence, a general line of conduct can now be shown, which is based on the following principles:

1) using liquid hydrogen/oxygen gives advantages which can be seen from many points of view (high performance at a relatively modest cost, experience already acquired, function proved by launchers in the USA etc.)

2) an economic way of using this propulsion in different high energy stages by using one motor which can be grouped together and most importantly can follow the dimensions of the stages in question…

Whatever the choice of definitive designs for the launcher ELDO B, it appears that it is now possible to envisage beginning development work by the start of 1965.

This would involve. the development of a motor: it seems that a motor of thrust of 6 to 7 tonnes would be optimal… It is therefore the intention of the Secretariat to place in very general terms, within the body of the budget of the Future Programme 1964, three contracts for the study of such a motor; the development could begin, after the choice of the best design, at the start of 1965.6

One of the contracts issued was to Rolls Royce, who then developed the RZ 20 motor, intended for the upper stages of ELDO B.7

There were in effect two proposed designs which were closely linked: B1 and B2. The third design, ELDO C, was much sketchier.

B1 would have one upper stage, B2 would have two. Each of the stages would use the same rocket motor – as mentioned above, with a thrust of 6-7 tonnes (60-70 kN, or around 14,000 lb). By comparison, the American Centaur stage, first attempted launch 1962, had two motors each of 15,000 lb thrust. The B1 stage
would have one of these motors, the B2 stage would have four such motors, and the B1 stage would be the third stage of the B2 design.

One problem was the large volume which liquid hydrogen occupies. This meant that the relatively light B1 stage was almost the same length of the first stage, and to assist aerodynamic stability at low speeds just after lift-off, it was proposed to fit four fins onto the kerosene tank of Blue Streak, although this idea only appears in early sketches for ELDO B. Another was that the maximum weight Blue Streak could carry in the form of upper stages was limited by the first stage thrust to 16,100 kg, and the extra weight on top of the vehicle meant that the stresses were greater so that thicker gauge stainless steel would be needed, making the first stage heavier.

ELDO B2 meant pushing Blue Streak to its limit – and perhaps beyond! The weight of the upper stages meant that the launcher would only be possible if the RZ 2 motor were uprated from 150,000 lb thrust to 165,000 lb, and the resultant vehicle would have a lift off acceleration of only 0.25 g. This implies a lift-off weight of the order of 265,000 lb. It would also mean strengthening the liquid oxygen tank by increasing the skin thickness from 0.6 mm to 1.5 mm, with a weight penalty of 0.85 tons. (Another solution was, of course, the strap-on boosters already described.)

The French failed to gather enough support from the other member states to switch the programme from Europa to ELDO B: at the Intergovernmental Conference in July 1966, a five-year revised programme for ELDO A and PAS vehicles was agreed; the B1 and B2 launchers were effectively abandoned at the same conference.

A little money was still available for ‘studies’. In the following years, different firms produced a plethora of designs for an ELDO B launcher, some not much more than sketches, others fully worked out designs, but as a consequence of the intransigence of the British Government, none of these were to come to fruition. However, they were to appear once again when studies began for a Europa III.

For a variety of reasons, opposition to ELDO B was led by the UK. Firstly, the new Wilson Government were against ELDO in itself; the last thing they and the Treasury wanted was an open-ended commitment to further spending. Secondly, it did not share the French view that the future lay in communications satellites, and moreover, even if it did, it was not convinced that there would be sufficient demand for a second, competing system. Thirdly, it did not believe that it would be ‘economic’ in the sense that the United States could always undercut ELDO in price. (There is a further discussion about this in the section about the Treasury.)

There was a fourth factor too: the UK had no inherent objection to using American launchers (the early military Skynet satellites were launched using Delta and Titan launchers, although later ones have used Ariane 4 and Ariane 5). The French, on the other hand, were very resistant to the idea of relying on the United States. In particular, they were wary of the restrictions that might be placed on competing commercial systems.

There was one other requirement if Europa was to be used to launch communications satellites: a new launch site. Firstly, whatever site was chosen would have to be as close to the equator as possible – unless the satellite is in an equatorial orbit, it will appear to ‘wander’ north and south in the sky. Secondly, communications satellites need to be launched in an easterly direction to take advantage of the spin of the Earth. The difference this makes is quite considerable: the speed of rotation of the Earth at the equator is close to half a kilometre a second. A clear launch corridor is also needed: the first stage of the satellite launcher will fall to the ground not that far from the launch site, and if the flight has to be terminated for any reason, or the launcher explodes, then the debris cannot be allowed to fall on populated areas. Woomera had very restricted launch corridors, which were mainly in a northerly direction. As a range for testing rockets and missiles, Woomera was ideal, but it had considerable geographical limitations as a satellite launching base.

Effectively then the site had to be on the eastern seaboard of a large ocean, where spent stages could fall without hazard (except to passing shipping!). ELDO considered several sites, although only two were serious contenders. One was the Australian proposal of Darwin in northern Australia, and the other was the French proposal of Kourou in French Guiana, an overseas region and departement of France located in South America. The choice fell on Kourou, which is now used for the Ariane launchers. Darwin was ruled out on various counts. One was that it was technically inadequate (this seems rather odd – the infrastructure at Kourou cannot have been very advanced at that stage), from the safety angle as being too heavily populated, and cost – which again seems a little odd. Woomera had cost ELDO nothing as it was being provided by the Australians, and it might well be expected that Australia would pay for a large part of the new site. One valid technical point was that it was further from the equator (12°S as opposed to 5°N).

The impression here and elsewhere is that the French are in the driving seat, and that choices were often made for political reasons, with technical reasons coming second (and the reasoning often questionable: would northern Australia be ‘technically inadequate’ compared with the South American jungle?). The new vehicle was given the title of Europa II, although the changes were fairly

Improving Europa

Figure 74. ‘Arcs of fire’ from Darwin and from Kourou.

minimal. The British objected to even this fairly modest proposal on the grounds that the PAS system was not part of the ‘original programme’. This was a mantra that the British Government would produce time and again.

Even so, 170 kg was not a particularly substantial payload for a communications satellite. To be of much use, this would have to be increased, and one cheap and easy way of doing this was to add strap-on boosters.

Indeed, as early as January 1963 the Italians came up with a proposal for 10 ft diameter solid fuel motors to be strapped on to Blue Streak, rather in the style of Titan III. The proposal was passed through to RAE, where Harold Robinson thought some of the assumptions rather optimistic.8 The Italians thought the combination could put 10 tons into orbit; Robinson was more pessimistic at 6.25 tons. Making motors this size with no prior experience would have been a considerable challenge, and in addition, Blue Streak would have to be strengthened quite considerably to take such a load.9

Since the French were now the leading lights in ELDO, it was inevitable that most of the proposals for uprating the launcher would come from them. Of the
many proposals made to improve Europa, the most significant from French companies such as SEREB (Societe pour l’Etude et la Realisation d’Engins Balistiques). One such proposal used P16 solid fuel boosters (P for French poudre, early solid fuel rockets being made from gunpowder) derived from the first stage of the French silo-based ballistic missile. The L17 liquid fuel boosters derived from the Diamant satellite launcher.

Figure 75. On the left is Europa with the French P16 boosters. Drawn on the right is the version with French L17 boosters.

Blue Streak

P16

L17

Diameter/m

3.1

1.5

1.4

Propellants/kg

88,500

16,440

33,500

Thrust/kN

1335

550[11]

668

Burn time/second

160

75

111

Total impulse/MNs

213

41 x 2 = 82

74 x 2 = 148

Payload[12]

170

300

290

Improving Europa

modern communications satellite. On the other hand, only two boosters are being considered. Ariane had a ‘pick and mix’ approach to boosters, with two or four solid or liquid boosters. Four boosters would certainly increase the payload a good deal further – and give the opportunity to stretch the upper stages at the same time.

Even larger boosters were being considered, as this talk by Dr K Iserland of ELDO in 1968, given to the Royal Aeronautical Society, shows:

… on the other hand, the use of liquid boosters is also being studied, and, in particular, two practical solutions – one based on Blue Streak, in other words using two Blue Streaks as additional boosters, and the other based on the technique of Diamant B, using the first stage of the improved version of the French Diamant B

Подпись: Figure 76. On the left: three Blue Streaks strapped together, and on the right, Blue Streak might weh have been to design with French Diamant strap on boosters. Both a bigger core - which is what versions have a liquid hydrogen upper stage. Europa III was all about. launcher… in the first case three Blue Streaks are attached together side by side and they would all be lit up together from the start. Propellant would be pumped continuously from the outer boosters to the engine of the central Blue Streak so that, at booster jettisoning, the central or core stage is still full and continues to burn for a full burning time. The version deriving from Diamant B type uses four boosters clustered around the central Blue Streak. They each have a diameter of 2.4 m, as compared with the 3 m of Blue Streak, and have 4 engines of 36 tonnes thrust each. The outer four boosters are functioning as a zero stage… i. e., the core stage is lit up at the end of the booster phase only.

It might be said that having to resort to these rather extreme measures points up the inadequacy of Blue Streak as the main core. A better approach

In December 1969, an ELDO report outlined various feasibility studies for a Europa III design10. It was stipulated that the new vehicle should have the capacity to launch 400-700 kg into geostationary orbit, and a brief history of previous proposals was outlined – the most significant of which had been made in 1969, when there was a proposal to replace Blue Streak with a French designed first stage designated the L135, which burned N2O4/UDMH. It would have a diameter greater than 3 m and the capacity to put a payload of 600 kg into geostationary orbit.

The report also thought that the proposal to uprate Europa II with boosters for relatively low cost to give around a 280 kg geostationary payload would not meet the payload criterion. A new booster would be needed, and four possibilities for the first stage were then considered (in the context of this discussion, ‘high energy’ can be read to mean ‘liquid hydrogen’).

A: This would be based around Blue Streak with a high energy stage, which would have been capable of putting 500 kg into geostationary orbit. The problem was that this design lay at the lower end of the performance spectrum.

With strap-on boosters, the payload was increased to 750-800 kg, but there were two drawbacks: firstly, that the design had been stretched as far as it would go and so no further development was possible; and second, that the 3 m diameter of the stage was thought to be a disadvantage.

There was also the consideration of the availability of Blue Streak after 1976 given the British Government’s attitude to ELDO – although no doubt Rolls Royce and HSD could have produced them easily enough on a commercial basis. The running costs of Spadeadam might also have been a problem, since it was currently being funded by Britain.

B: this was based on the French L135 design already mentioned, with a diameter of 3.6 m, and a capability of launching 700-750 kg to geostationary orbit.

C: the first stage would have been powered by four RZ 2 chambers, downrated back to 137,000 lb (it is not made clear why the downrating was thought to have been a good idea). It was thought that this vehicle was capable of 850-900kg to geostationary orbit. The report shows a distinct lack of enthusiasm for the design, with the comment that Europe was ‘more experienced in N2O4/UDMH technology than in lox/kerosene’. This is an odd comment, since liquid oxygen/kerosene is hardly the most sophisticated of technologies, and the motors were to be provided by Rolls Royce, which did have a fair amount of experience in the technology. It was probably the political dimension which ruled this design out – the main motors for the vehicle would have been produced in a country which was not a member, and which had done its best to wreck the organisation! The tank structure would have been light alloy rather than the stainless steel balloon design of Blue Streak.

The timescale for each of these three designs would be set by the high energy upper stage – that is, the liquid hydrogen upper stage.

D: this was an all hydrogen design, which looked distinctly aspirational – in other words, whereas engineers might relish the challenge of producing such a design; politically and economically it represented a distinct challenge.

The estimated cost of each design (in MMU) was:

A

B

C

D

641*

770

747

852

629**

* with solid boosters

** with liquid boosters

MMU = Million Monetary Units, the notional currency of ELDO, effectively equivalent to one American dollar. 1 MU = £0.413

On the other hand, given the speculative nature of most of these designs, any attempt to cost them seems distinctly futile. They are probably in the right order, but that is about as much as can be said for them..

The conclusion of the report ran roughly as follows. Option A was viable only if cost were a consideration. B represents the best compromise – although, again, it was not made clear what the compromise was. C matched the performance criterion but ‘represents from the engineering standpoint a compromise with the EUROPA I and II vehicle system’. This is another fairly political point, since the only part of Europa that had worked without fault on every flight was the RZ 2 motor, and that was the only point of commonality. As for D – it was acknowledged that the design was not very realistic at the present time.

Despite these figures, the report of EUROPA II AD HOC group in May 1972 came to very different conclusions. (The ‘low cost configurations’ being referred to are upgrades of Europa, or option A in the previous report.)

The EUROPA II ad hoc group concludes that, even without making provision for additional development launchings, the low cost configurations will most probably not result in a significant saving with respect to EUROPA II; if provision is made for additional firings – the necessity of which is accepted, except by the German delegation – all low cost launchers will be more expensive than EUROPA III.

Improving Europa

The ad hoc group notes that the low cost launchers do not have the same growth potential as the EUROPA III launcher whose performance increase would be more cost effective.

Under the circumstances, the majority of the EUROPA II ad hoc group cannot recommend further study of the so-called low cost configurations.11

Whether or not Blue Streak-based options were technically adequate or financially viable, there is a very strong likelihood that they would be politically unacceptable, given the past attitude of the UK Government.

As is well known, option B was chosen, and after further evolution of the design, went on to become Ariane I – but that is another story.

More interesting from the British point of view was option C. Unlike Blue Streak, it would have light alloy tanks rather than stainless steel, but still with stringers to the kerosene tank (it was not made clear why stringers would be needed with conventional tanks). The main stage motor would have four RZ 2 Mk III engines each of 62.2 tonnes (137,000 lb) thrust, with the ability to swivel in the tangential plane only (this feature might have been borrowed from the Gamma 201 of Black Knight). Quite why the thrust had been down rated from

150,0 lb back to the original 137,000 lb was also not made clear.

The estimated cost of the new motor was £7,536,500 (18.1 MMU), and the annual cost of running Spadeadam was put at 2.25 MMU. There would be a completely open engine bay, 3.6 m diameter, with each motor having a separate pump and turbine.12

Val Cleaver of Rolls Royce produced the brochure, which he sent with a covering letter. The letter did not display a great deal of enthusiasm for the proposition, describing the RZ 2 as ‘1950s technology’, and hinting strongly that a motor using high energy propellants would be far more interesting. Cleaver might have been a good engineer, but he was obviously not so good as a salesman! Whatever his feelings about being asked to produce a design of that sort, he might have done better to keep them to himself.

The ironic part of the story is that a four engined RZ 2 first stage would have almost certainly have been cheaper to develop than the L135 design which became Ariane and would have kept the UK in the launcher business. With any luck, it could have been as successful as Ariane was. Unfortunately, the British Government was actively hostile to the idea of a new launcher, and the new design was effectively a French vehicle. Thus ELDO died, and Ariane was born. [13] [14]

BK11

Single stage. Launched 17 October 1963. Apogee 322 miles.

This was launched in support of the ELDO programme, and was designed to test the safety systems and the broadband telemetry. The interim report issued after the flight had this to say:

Two WREBUS [Weapons Research Establishment Break Up System] command destruct systems were tested with a comprehensive programme during the whole of the flight. One WREBUS system was commanded by a transmitter located at Red Lake, and the other by a temporary low-power installation at the rangehead. The test programme featured both manual and automatic command functions.

… During the whole of the flight the broadband telemetry system… functioned well and records of equipment monitoring were obtained.4

A second vehicle, BK10, was in reserve in case the tests had to be repeated. Since the flight had met all its objectives, BK10 was never fired and is now in the World Museum, Liverpool.

BK11

BK11

Figure 99. The re-entry heads of Project Dazzle.

 

Подпись:The final six Black Knight launches were part of Project Dazzle, and the various re-entry heads can be seen in Figure 99 above. The range instrumentation was greatly improved, as can be seen in the pictures above.5 The purpose of these flights was to study re­entry phenomena more closely. Dazzle was a joint UK/US/Australian project – the UK providing the vehicles and re-entry heads, Australia supplying the range facilities, and the US supplying much of the instrumentation.

A Black Knight IRBM

One rather unusual proposal surfaced at the time when Skybolt was cancelled. At the subsequent Nassau conference in December 1962, Macmillan was able to persuade President Kennedy to provide Polaris, effectively without strings. This seemed to be distinctly improbable at the outset, and there was obviously a short period of almost panic in the British delegation. Without Skybolt and without Polaris, Britain would have been thrown back entirely on its own resources, which were then very few. Sir James Lighthill, at that time Director of RAE, came up with a proposal for a missile based on Black Knight and wrote a note for Macmillan headed ‘A Possible British Deterrent’. It begins by saying:

Advances in technology make it possible, today, to do Blue Streak’s job with a rocket at one tenth of Blue Streak’s weight. The main advances have been in reduction of weight of warhead, and the perfection of the technique of the two-stage rocket, whose first stage is shed after it has burnt itself out.1

He then put forward the idea that:

… The very successful research vehicle BLACK KNIGHT (an entirely British development began in 1956 as a ‘lead into’ BLUE STREAK and first fired 2U years later) could now do the job with a small second stage. Several two stage rockets with BLACK KNIGHT as first stage have actually been fired. In the last three firings, all systems (including first and second stage separation, and complex data processing and transmission systems) worked as planned. In all fourteen firings of BLACK KNIGHT, the first stage flew successfully.

For delivery of nuclear warheads over 1500 nautical miles (the London Moscow distance), a suitable second stage would be one using the extremely well tried Gamma 201 engine (of 4000 pound thrust). Guidance would be based on the Ferranti miniature stable platform, of which the prototype has already been satisfactorily tested.

The fuels would be kerosene and hydrogen peroxide (which can be stored at room temperature for a whole month). The missiles can be fired from small hardened sites (a tenth of the size contemplated for BLUE STREAK), and would be vulnerable to a megaton explosion only if it took place less than half a mile away.

The system suggested would use proven components that started development in 1956. It would probably reach the first flight after two years of further development (at high priority), and begin to come into service after another two years (and some 30 test flights).

A tentative estimate of research and development cost includes £15m. spent on the missiles plus £20m. on the Woomera range, which I add together around up to £50m. The cost of operational missiles and launch sites is estimated at £200,000 and £500,000 respectively, which I add together around up to £1m. per missile. These figures suggest that for £100m. (essentially what remains to be spent by us on SKYBOLT) we could have 50 of these rockets. (They would be simpler and cheaper than the US rocket Minuteman because of the much shorter range required).2

In the end, Britain did acquire Polaris without strings, but Lighthill’s suggestion was probably the most viable if Britain wanted to retain its deterrent yet ‘go it alone’. Certainly some form of Black Knight would be the only ballistic missile which could have been developed in less than five or six years, and by far the cheapest.

Obviously RAE followed up this idea later, when the dust had settled:

An investigation was recently made into the possible use of Black Knight as an IRBM Two cases were considered, both based on the 54" Black Knight with a sea level thrust of 25,000 lb weight. The first assumes that HTP and kerosene were the propellants, with a vacuum specific impulse of 250 secs; the second that the specific impulse can be raised to 280 secs by using propellants such as NTO/UDMH. In both cases the second stage used the same propellants as the first stage. The maximum range of an 800 lb re-entry vehicle was found to be just over 1000 n. miles with the HTP/kerosene combination and 1500 n. miles with NTO/UDMH.3

And later in the report: ‘It was found that a second stage weight of 3500 lb at a thrust of 6000 lb was about the optimum.’

Changing fuels would have negated one of the major advantages of the proposal: it was simple, cheap and made use of existing and proven hardware.

It is curious that a much more useful proposal was not pressed into service at this point. The 1958 proposal for an IRBM from Armstrong Siddeley, resurrected in 1960 (described in the Black Arrow chapter), would have been eminently suitable. The design is basically a much enlarged Black Knight, but instead of the small Gamma engine (4,000 lb thrust), it uses the large Stentor chamber: 24,000 lb thrust. Thus the proposed vehicle is six times more massive. It would have been easy enough to put a small second stage on top, and it would certainly have had the range to reach Moscow.

As an alternative missile to Blue Streak, it had the advantage that the propellants are storable, or reasonably so. Certainly, HTP would be easier to handle than liquid oxygen within a silo, and could be stored in the missile for long periods – months rather than weeks.

Certainly, an alternative history or counter-factual for Nassau would be interesting: what would Macmillan have done if Polaris was not available, or at least hampered by a sufficient number of strings as to make it political unpalatable? The only possibilities were some sort of air-launched missile (a ramjet cruise missile, the X-12 or Pandora, was being suggested at the time), or (with a large number of people having to eat quite a few words) a land-based missile, and here a Black Knight derivative is an obvious choice. Like Titan II and unlike Blue Streak, the fuels were storable in the missile, making for a much more credible weapon.

It is interesting, although coincidental, that such a missile would have looked very much like Black Arrow, whose development costs were a mere £10 million. The first flight of Black Arrow was in June 1968, and, given proper funding, this could have been reduced by at least two years or more. Lighthill had noted that it was now possible ‘to do Blue Streak’s job with a rocket at one tenth of Blue Streak’s weight’. That was perhaps a touch optimistic, but Black Arrow at 40,000 lb was actually a fifth of the weight of Blue Streak’s 200,000 lb.