The Fading,. the Comeback
During the 1960s and 1970s, work in re-entry went from strength to strength. The same was certainly not true of scramjets, which reached a peak of activity in the Aerospaceplane era and then quickly faded. Partly it was their sheer difficulty, along with an appreciation that whatever scramjets might do tomorrow, rockets were already doing today. Yet the issues went deeper.
The 1950s saw the advent of antiaircraft missiles. Until then, the history of air power had been one of faster speeds and higher altitudes. At a stroke, though, it became clear that missiles held the advantage. A hot fighter plane, literally hot from aerodynamic heating, now was no longer a world-class dogfighter; instead it was a target for a heat-seeking missile.
When antiaircraft no longer could outrace defenders, they ceased to aim at speed records. They still needed speed but not beyond a point at which this requirement would compromise other fighting qualities. Instead, aircraft were developed with an enhanced ability to fly low, where missiles could lose themselves in ground clutter, and became stealthy. In 1952, late in the dogfight era, Clarence “Kelly” Johnson designed the F-104 as the “missile with a man in it,” the ultimate interceptor. No one did this again, not after the real missiles came in.
This was bad news for ramjets. The ramjet had come to the fore around 1950, in projects such as Navaho, Bomarc, and the XF-103, because it offered Mach 3 at a time when turbojets could barely reach Mach 1. But Mach 3, when actually achieved in craft such as the XB-70 and SR-71, proved to be a highly specialized achievement that had little to do with practical air power. No one ever sent an SR-71 to conduct close air support at subsonic speed, while the XB-70 gave way to its predecessor, the B-52, because the latter could fly low whereas the XB-70 could not.
Ramjets also faltered on their merits. The ramjet was one of two new airbreath – ers that came forth after the war, with the other being the turbojet. Inevitably this set up a Darwinian competition in which one was likely to render the other extinct. Ramjets from the start were vulnerable, for while they had the advantage of speed, they needed an auxiliary boost from a rocket or turbojet. Nor was it small; the Navaho booster was fully as large as the winged missile itself.
The problem of compressor stall limited turbojet performance for a time. But from 1950 onward, several innovations brought means of dealing with it. They led to speedsters such as the F-104 and F-105, operational aircraft that topped Mach 2, along with the B-58 which also did this. The SR-71, in turn, exceeded Mach 3. This meant that there was no further demand for ramjets, which were not selected for new aircraft.
The ramjet thus died not only because its market was lost to advanced turbojets, but because the advent of missiles made it clear that there no longer was a demand for really fast aircraft. This, in turn, was bad news for scramjets. The scramjet was an advanced ramjet, likely to enter the aerospace mainstream only while ramjets remained there. The decline of the ramjet trade meant that there was no industry that might build scramjets, no powerful advocates that might press for them.
The scramjet still held the prospective advantage of being able to fly to orbit as a single stage. With Aerospaceplane, the Air Force took a long look as to whether this was plausible, and the answer was no, at least not soon. With this the scramjet lost both its rationale in the continuing pursuit of high speed and the prospect of an alternate mission—ascent to orbit—that might allow it to bypass this difficulty.
In its heyday the scramjet had stood on the threshold of mainstream research and development, with significant projects under way at General Electric and United Aircraft Research Laboratories, which was affiliated with Pratt & Whitney. As scramjets faded, though, even General Applied Science Laboratories (GASL), a scramjet center that had been founded by Antonio Ferri himself, had to find other activities. For a time the only complete scramjet lab in business was at NASA-Langley.
And then—lightning struck. President Ronald Reagan announced the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI), which brought the prospect of a massive new demand for access to space. The Air Force already was turning away from the space shuttle, while General Lawrence Skantze, head of the Air Force Systems Command, was strongly interested in alternatives. He had no background in scramjets, but he embraced the concept as his own. The result was the National Aerospace Plane (NASP) effort, which aimed at airplane-like flight to orbit.
In time SDI faded as well, while lessons learned by researchers showed that NASP offered no easy path to space flight. NASP faded in turn and with it went hopes for a new day for hypersonics. Final performance estimates for the prime NASP vehicle, the X-30, were not terribly far removed from the early and optimistic estimates that had made the project appear feasible. Still, the X-30 design was so sensitive that even modest initial errors could drive its size and cost beyond what the Pentagon was willing to accept.